Northern Illinois vs Fresno State 12/18/2010

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Northern Illinois is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Fresno State. Chad Spann is projected for 92 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Fresno State wins, Ryan Colburn averages 2.1 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.03 TDs to 0.71 interceptions. Robbie Rouse averages 129 rushing yards and 1.37 rushing TDs when Fresno State wins and 110 yards and 0.71 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FREST +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 60

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